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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2024-07-24T17:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2024-07-24T17:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/32172/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible to the west in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2 imagery. The source is related to an M3.0 flare and associated eruption from Active Region 13751 (S08W70) starting around 2024-07-24T17:10Z as seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 imagery. Field line movement is visible near the western limb in SDO AIA 171 and 193 at this time as well.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-07-28T05:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 10.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: -159.38 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-08-03T20:23Z
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